2 posts tagged “vladimir putin”
Russia has been revising it geopolitical stance slowly moving back to a Cold War image of Russia VS the West with the USA in mind in particular.
Russia has been playing brinksmanship with Britain in the air and in protecting Russian assassins who killed on British soil a Russian protected by the British government.
Russia is playing brinksmanship in the Arctic Ocean relating to natural resources around the North Pole.
Russia has demanded the USA not build an anti-ballistic missile security system in Poland and the Czech Republic. America’s reasoning (publicly anyway) is that Europe needs an umbrella of protection from Iranian long range missiles which may eventually contain nuclear warheads. Russia’s stand is such a security system undermines Russia’s deterrent strategy with Europe: So much for Russian matriculation into the Western democratic lifestyle.
With a little guess work on might see another reason for Russia’s stand against an ABM system in Eastern Europe. Russia is building Iran’s nuclear plant. As part of that Russian/Iranian partnership further Putin brinksmanship have proceeded from the lips of the Russian President. Putin is warning the U.S. or any nation that might threaten to militarily attack Iran’s nuclear aspirations.
That sounds like a veiled threat of a Russian military response to any sane nation preventing insane Iran from acquiring weapons grade uranium to arm Iranian long range missiles.
Although Russia is still in the realm plausible deniability there is an appearance of a plan of Russia allying itself with Islamofascist rogue nations such as Syria and Iran. If Arabs calling themselves Palestinians schmooze their way into a sovereign nation, you can bet it will join Islamofascist rogue nations. I also suspect that Hezbollah will either usurp Lebanon’s political rule or divide the nation with a Lebanon in the north a southern nation we can call Hezbollahstan.
Who would supply the military arms to a progressive Islamofascist Middle Eastern disease? Naturally it would be Russia. This is the same Russia that was the former Soviet Union that armed Egypt, Syria and Jordan in a perpetual goal of eliminating Israel.
What is the Russian motivation? After all Russia has had their own experience with Islamofascist terrorists with Chechen separatists murdering Russian children and teachers at a school.
For Russia ideology is irrelevant. It does not matter if it Czarist Russia, Soviet/Communist Russia or the current Russian republic; Russian nationalism has sought global hegemony in order not to be the victim of invasions. Russia trusts no one. Currently America is a global hyper-super power hegemon. The obvious Russian strategy is to stretch American National Interests so much that a potential collapse occurs via over extension.
Russia has cleverly used their traditional enemies via agreement or military supply to stretch America.
Communist China has not exactly been friendly with Russia over the years even when they shared the same Marxist ideology. Yet China is an emerging Super Power that also wants to compete with American hegemony. Russian and Chinese cooperation although tentative is effectively giving geopolitical power to Islamofascist rogue nations and ultimately stateless Islamofascist terrorists.
When America and Israel had an opportunity to end Iran’s nuke program with little more than the threat of Iranian terrorism and global protests, they failed by yielding to diplomatic Appeasers. Now that Russia is extending veiled protection to Iran’s nuclear program, it will a more difficult decision to carpet bomb Iran’s nuclear industrial military complex. Now it is a guess if Russia is bluffing or not. An effective diplomatic lesson learned from Iran.
I have gone from favoring an attack on Iran to a wait and see if Russia, Iran, Syria or Waziristan-Pakistani terrorists step over a line that forces an American response. America has given up a preemptive posture to awaiting another 911/Pearl Harbor victim posture.
Unless Israel and America is of a gambling nature and call Russia to see if their warning is a bluff.
Putin has made crystal clear his objection to a missile defense umbrella being built in Europe to the point of threatening to posture the Russian military in an offensive mode to counter any perceived attack advances from that missile shield.
America’s stand for the defensive shield is the ongoing pursuit of Iran to make weapons grade uranium that could be used in Iranian missiles that can easily reach Eastern and Western Europe. Putin does not buy that scenario. Evidently Putin comprehends that Russian endorsement and aid to Iran with its nuclear program could make Russia a target as well as Iran.
So what does the former old KGB fox propose to Bush at the G8 Summit? Putin suggests placing the American made missile defense shield in Azerbaijan, a Mohammedan nation formerly of the USSR and somewhat north of Iran. Bush has to ask, “How this benefits Russia and what are the implications to America?”
A missile shield in Azerbaijan could obviously stave off an Iranian missile attack if detection was rapid. There is even the potential of being a shield to Israel and ironically to Russia itself in the case of an Iranian missile attack.
However an Azerbaijan location could be a set up for a first strike removal of the missile umbrella by Russia to enable an in concert attack by Iran (and potentially China). The appearance to me is a total benefit for Russia depending on which ever way the geopolitical winds blow.
