5 posts tagged “sanctions”
Thanks to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), I suspect America and Israel may have to act alone to prevent nuclear WMD from being made in Iran.
The IAEA report recently released claims that Iran is “generally truthful about key aspects of its nuclear history”.
Those brief words alone enable Russia who is aiding in building nuclear plants and China who is a major arms dealer, to say: “I told you so.”
Europe is incredibly tied to Iranian oil and will think long and hard to accommodate sanctions along with America. Iran could make the claim that Bush has it wrong again about WMD, because he found none in Iraq.
I guess I am of the rare group that believes it is better to be safe than sorry. The kind of uranium being enriched in Iran is weapons grade and that is confirmed. If America acquiesces to Iran becoming a nuclear power in the Middle East then nations that can afford to do so will be forced to seek nuclear WMD to counter Iran’s hegemonic designs. The two nations I have in mind are Wahhabi dominated Saudi Arabia and Muslim Brotherhood infiltrated Egypt.
A nuclear race far more dangerous than the Cold War days will occur. Middle Eastern nuclear proliferation will be dangerous because Mohammedans are crazy suicidal and the old Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) doctrine will not faze them. The MAD doctrine was the code that definite enemies America led NATO versus the Soviet Block (and emerging Red China) lived by in order not to launch nuclear attacks.
The MAD doctrine implies if one nation (or nations) launch a nuclear missile strike then the retaliation button will be pushed before the WMD strike. Thus both sides are obliterated in a thermonuclear holocaust.
As competitive as free market capitalistic democratic Federalism and Marxist/Leninist/Stalinist/Maoist Communism were, neither side felt an ideology was total obliteration.
Does anyone think the fear of annihilation exists in homicidal suicidal Mohammedan nations? Well I don’t!
Aaron Klein reports that a Palestinian Intelligence terrorist official is claiming that an America will attack Iran in two to three months if the latest round of sanctions is ignored by Iran.
When the Palestinian-Arab was asked on what he based his claim, he evaded the answer. The terrorist just said he “understood” from talks relating to Palestinian Statehood that America intends to pay for Arab support against Iran, including creating a Palestinian State, to launch an attack on Iranian nuke facilities.
The story could be a geopolitical brinksmanship plant in which everyone knows that World Net Daily would report. The purpose of the plant is to extend more back door notification that the Bush Administration is serious of its intentions.
In speculation there is always an “on the other hand.” The scenario makes sense.
The Arab dictatorships and Arab Monarchies (e.g. Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia) not connected to the puppet strings of Iran (e.g. as Syria, Hezbollah and radical Shi’ites of Iraq) are feeling the heat of Islamist Theo-political fundamentalism (whether it is Wahhabi or radical Shi’ite). Greed of power and wealth of Arab ruling and wealthy elites does not line up with the tenets of Islamist Theo-political ideology. For many of these Arab elites (not all for some do buy into Islamism) a unified Mohammedan Islamist Caliphate-like scenario would dip into a lifestyle that runs counter to Islamism.
Then there is the Palestine issue itself. The establishment of a sovereign Palestine (God forbid) would relieve a lot of public pressure upon Arab elites to constantly have an anti-Israel policy. Certainly in public the Mohammedan minions would not accept a pro-Israel stance because of the Dar al-Islam ideology that is ingrained in the Mohammedan mind; however among the ruling Arab elites a secretive benign policy toward Israel would go a long way in perpetuating the economic status quo and empower the ruling Arab elites to keep ruling. These Arab elites may look medieval however petro-wealth has embraced them into the 21st century global economy.
If a Palestine State exists, the Arab elites can focus more resources on shoring up their power locally.
Again, “on the other hand,” the construct of a current sovereign Palestine would be a polarity of radical religious Islamists (like Hamas) versus radical Islamofascist terrorists that use religion to gain the traditional Arabic power structure (like Fatah). In either case, a sovereign Palestine would be ruled by Terrorists whose goal is still to destroy Israel.
If an Iran, Syria Hezbollah troika attacks Israel before the US implements an attack on Iranian nuke facilities; certainly the new Palestine would join the Mohammedan troika.
The other Arab elites who had promised allegiance to America to support an American attack on Iran would be forced to reevaluate their National Interests. I suspect if there was a hint of success against the Israel’s IDF; some Arab elites would join the troika at least with lip service to satisfy the blood lust of their Mohammedan citizens.
It would be a tough call for the Arab elites for if Israel held off an Islamist attack long enough, America would be forced to use their military resources to strike back – even if Russia and China nodded support toward the Iranian coalition.
This speculation may deviate into an uncountable amount of scenarios based on who supports whom; however one thing would be certain – it would be another World War for the globe.
The essence of escalation or backing down will be all about timing and global reactions.
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Secretary of State Condi Rice and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson made joint statements announcing sanctions on Iran and explaining the reasoning for the sanctions.
The sanctions in a nutshell are tagged into Iran’s insistence of creating weapons grade uranium which is a quality way beyond needed for peaceful nuclear energy.
A few subdivision reasonings surrounded Iran’s constant threatening of Israel and America for interfering with the Iranian nuke program, the Revolutionary Guard and the Quds Force actively supplying arms and training to terrorists from the Taliban, Shi’ites in Iraq, Hamas of pseudo-Palestinians and Hezbollah.
It is now illegal for business to be conducted with Iran wherever there is American jurisdiction and whatever Iranian assets under Iranian jurisdiction will be frozen.
The official government stand is that this is not a prelude to war with Iran; however Presidential statements, Vice Presidential statements and now State/Treasury statements are a chain of aggressive wording that has all the appearances of daring Iran to cross the line in the sand (if they already have not done so).
I can’t wait to hear the official Iranian response to today’s turning of the screws of pressure on Iran to comply with American led International wishes.
The U.N. Security Council has actually stepped to the plate to deliver tougher (well at a little increased) sanctions on Iran. The sanctions only have little more teeth to its bite thus I perceive it will be ignored again. Ignoring the Security Council sanctions means even more time for Iran to enrich weapons grade uranium.
A signal that Iran will ignore Security Council wishes to halt uranium enrichment is the capture of British Sailors. The act was provocative and will probably be used as a negotiating tool. The trading of lives is the primary of tool of negotiation by Mohammedan and terrorist organizations.
The global community generally condemns the Bush Administration wish to prevent WMD quality nuclear enrichment from occurring in Iran. Well really I guess the global community does not complain about the idea of prevention, rather they denounce the Bush Administration call for harsh sanctions or military intervention to prevent a nuclear Iran.
The global community (particularly EU) did not learn the lesson of Neville Chamberlain: dealing with devils only stalls the inevitable. The “Peace in our time” pitch is a devilish lie to build an armament to achieve the political goals stated in public and in writings.
Here is a Jewish perspective from Arutz Sheva.
